Northern Virginia Childcare Real Estate Market Report 2026: Investment Trends & Scarcity Analysis

Childcare real estate for sale in Northern Virginia marketed by Serafin Real Estate.

In 2026, Northern Virginia’s childcare real estate market is experiencing a significant “supply-demand vacuum,” making it a prime investment opportunity. With a staggering 41% reduction in licensed centers in Loudoun County since pre-COVID, existing facilities are facing long waitlists and commanding premium prices. The U.S. childcare market is projected to soar from $65.2 billion to $109.9 billion by 2033, highlighting the recession-resilient nature of these assets. At Serafin Real Estate, we lead the charge in this evolving landscape, offering unparalleled insights and opportunities for investors ready to capitalize on this high-demand sector.

Serafin Real Estate Delivers a Triple Success for Premier Ashburn Educational Campus at 20577 Ashburn Road

Aerial view of the award-winning private school campus at 20577 Ashburn Road, successfully leased by Serafin Real Estate in Ashburn, VA

Discover how Serafin Real Estate navigated a complex challenge at the Premier Ashburn Educational Campus. Our team successfully managed a lease exit and secured Falcon Academy Inc. as a new tenant at a competitive lease rate of $35/SF, significantly higher than before. This transaction included a rare Special Exception for private K-12 school use, enhancing the property’s value and offering Falcon Academy an opportunity to expand their educational services. Continue reading for more insights into this achievement.

Industrial Owner-User Sale in Berryville, VA at 351 Station Road for $14,000,000

Aerial drone view of 351 Station Road, a 270,000 SF industrial warehouse in Berryville, VA, sold by Serafin Real Estate for $14M.

Discover the strategic sale of 351 Station Road in Berryville, VA, where Serafin Real Estate facilitated a remarkable $14 million transaction at a 3.66% cap rate. This deal presents a unique “value-add” opportunity for an Owner-User to acquire a substantial 270,000 SF industrial facility below replacement cost with existing tenant income. With significant vacancy and expansion potential, this property highlights the evolving industrial market. Learn how this deal maximized value for the seller and provided a solution for the buyer in a tightening market.

Northern Virginia Commercial Real Estate Market Update 2025

Northern Virginia commercial real estate market update by Serafin Real Estate featuring 2025 performance and 2026 outlook across Loudoun County, Fairfax County, and Prince William County.

Northern Virginia Commercial Real Estate Market Update 2025 2025 Performance Review & 2026 Outlook By Joe Serafin The Northern Virginia commercial real estate market in 2025 marked a clear turning point. After several years of rapid appreciation and aggressive pricing, the market shifted into a period of recalibration—one defined by discipline, strategy, and fundamentals rather […]

Fully Leased Medical Office Condo Sold in Leesburg for 7.47% Cap Rate by Serafin Real Estate

Exterior view of 19420 Golf Vista Plaza, a red brick medical office building in Leesburg, VA, with a parking lot in front, recently sold by Serafin Real Estate.

Discover how Serafin Real Estate successfully navigated the complexities of the commercial real estate market to close the sale of a fully leased medical office condo in Leesburg for an impressive 7.01% cap rate. This strategic transaction, finalized on December 29, 2025, highlights the importance of accurate pricing and market positioning. With a focus on transforming a vacant property into a stabilized investment, the team attracted the right capital and achieved a closing price of $460,000. Learn more about the challenges faced, the innovative solutions implemented, and the prime location that made this investment a success.

Successful Sale of 23320 Foxchase Farm Lane in Middleburg, VA

Aerial view of 23320 Foxchase Farm Lane in Middleburg, VA, showing property boundary and Route 50 frontage, sold by Serafin Real Estate for commercial and event use.

Successful Sale of 23320 Foxchase Farm Lane in Middleburg, VA Serafin Real Estate successfully brokered the sale of 23320 Foxchase Farm Lane, a premier event and equestrian facility located in the prestigious Middleburg market. The property’s extensive acreage, renovated facilities, and flexible AR-2 zoning made it a standout opportunity in Western Loudoun County.   This significant […]

Special Purpose School Building Sale in Old Town Alexandria at 216 S Peyton Street for $2,950,000

Exterior view of 216 S Peyton Street, a two-story commercial building with private parking in Old Town Alexandria, VA, sold by Serafin Real Estate.

The sale of the prime commercial building at 216 S Peyton Street in Old Town Alexandria for $2,950,000 is a testament to the strength of our market. This versatile property, previously an educational facility, has been successfully acquired by Melwood, a renowned non-profit organization, ensuring its ongoing contribution to the community. With 11,238 square feet of adaptable space and a prime location near major transportation hubs, this transaction underscores the strong demand for owner-user opportunities in Alexandria. Discover how Serafin Real Estate skillfully navigated the market to connect this unique asset with a buyer ready to unlock its full potential. Read on to learn more about this impressive achievement!

Finding Certainty in an Uncertain Market: The Dulles Region’s Commercial Real Estate Outlook

Map of the Dulles Region commercial real estate market area in Northern Virginia, highlighting key cities including Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Herndon, Reston, and Chantilly — created by Serafin Real Estate led by Joe Serafin.

Finding Certainty in an Uncertain Market: The Dulles Region’s Commercial Real Estate Outlook The Dulles Region’s Strength Lies in Data, Not Speculation At the Dulles Regional Chamber of Commerce IGNITE for Growth event, “Finding Certainty in an Uncertain Market,” Serafin Real Estate’s Principal Broker, Joe Serafin, shared proprietary insights into the commercial real estate market […]

Northern Virginia Commercial Real Estate Q3 2025 Market Report | Serafin Real Estate

Aerial view of Northern Virginia showcasing commercial and industrial development surrounded by green landscapes under a cloudy sky.

Northern Virginia Commercial Real Estate Q3 2025 Market Report | Serafin Real Estate Introduction Northern Virginia’s commercial real estate market remains one of the most resilient and investable regions in the Mid-Atlantic. In this Q3 2025 market report, Serafin Real Estate, led by Joe Serafin, breaks down the performance of office, retail, and industrial properties […]

Lease of Early Education Center in South Riding, Chantilly at 42851 Smallwood Terrace to Falcon Academy for $35/SF NNN

Aerial view of the early education and childcare facility at 42851 Smallwood Terrace in South Riding, Chantilly, VA, recently leased to Falcon Academy.

Discover how Serafin Real Estate effectively facilitated the leasing of an educational center in Chantilly to Falcon Academy within a period of less than four months. This property, located at 42851 Smallwood Terrace and specifically designed for early childhood education, achieved a lease rate of $35/SF NNN, indicative of significant demand in Northern Virginia. This transaction underscores the value associated with specialized real estate assets. Explore the strategies that contributed to the successful outcome for both the landlord and tenant in the childcare sector.